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Search found 503 matches
- Sun May 03, 2026 8:12 pm
- Forum: News, Current Affairs & Politics
- Topic: The Polls Thread
- Replies: 252
- Views: 60172
Re: The Polls Thread
Yes, but it's pretty much an identical system to the south. The exception being that all constituencies are 5 seaters. It's actually a hangover from partition. STV was the model for both home rule parliaments, but the north abandoned it very early on in favour of FPTP. Yeah, I know, one of the Brit...
- Sun May 03, 2026 6:42 pm
- Forum: News, Current Affairs & Politics
- Topic: The Polls Thread
- Replies: 252
- Views: 60172
Re: The Polls Thread
As do the north for their locals. With the distributions, because ward electorates are so small they actually distribute surpluses in full - so rather than taking a sample of the winner's ballot, they look at the all the next available choices and divide them by the surplus. At the last NI locals, ...
- Sun May 03, 2026 4:07 pm
- Forum: News, Current Affairs & Politics
- Topic: The Polls Thread
- Replies: 252
- Views: 60172
Re: The Polls Thread
The system is Scotland though, it's a bit weird in that it is specifically designed to prevent a one party majority. 56 FPTP seats which the SNP will hiover up the majority of, then a list elected by d'hondt where you're effectively penalised for doing well in the fptp part. It's somewhat bizarre. ...
- Sun May 03, 2026 3:46 pm
- Forum: News, Current Affairs & Politics
- Topic: The Polls Thread
- Replies: 252
- Views: 60172
Re: The Polls Thread
They'll do well but not as well as people think. The big story will be the kicking that both Labour and Tories will get from reform, green, lib Dems, plaid and SNP. Well, that's baked in. The big story is who benefits in each country. The only certainty it will be the SNP in Scotland, due to fragme...
- Sun May 03, 2026 3:43 pm
- Forum: News, Current Affairs & Politics
- Topic: The Polls Thread
- Replies: 252
- Views: 60172
Re: The Polls Thread
I think that the MoE on this poll was +/- 2.4%. That is not a defence for the decline of FF and FG. It is not a defence for Labour's decline and the rise of the SocDems. What they have in common is a generational shift with younger voters shifting to alternatives. The main voter base for FF, FG and...
- Sun May 03, 2026 3:40 pm
- Forum: News, Current Affairs & Politics
- Topic: The Polls Thread
- Replies: 252
- Views: 60172
Re: The Polls Thread
It's intrresting in determining where "centrist" (centre right in this instance) votes go when they get pissed off with the centre. Clearly the rise of the 4 parties you mentioned is larger than the fall of the 2 govt parties. At a guess I'd suggest 3-4% is FG to Aontú and II, and 3-4% fr...
- Sat May 02, 2026 8:59 pm
- Forum: News, Current Affairs & Politics
- Topic: The Polls Thread
- Replies: 252
- Views: 60172
Re: The Polls Thread
Independents now at a total of 19% and Aontu on7%. This is where the real growth in support is hapoening. Apart from II, most of those Indos are in govt with FF/FG and at 10% they're actually down about 3% on the 2024 GE. I don't think lumping them in with II makes much sense at this stage. FF/FG a...
- Sat May 02, 2026 7:14 pm
- Forum: News, Current Affairs & Politics
- Topic: The Polls Thread
- Replies: 252
- Views: 60172
Re: The Polls Thread
New Ireland Thinks. FF down 2, II up 3, little else changed. Combined support for II and Aontu is now 16%. In terms of possible coalitions:- FF/FG/Inds max 44% though probably more like 40-41% as not all Inds/Oths aligned with govt. SF/II/Aontu 38% SF/SD/Lab/GP/PBP (not happening of course but just ...
- Thu Apr 30, 2026 5:06 pm
- Forum: News, Current Affairs & Politics
- Topic: United Kingdom Politics
- Replies: 416
- Views: 147869
Re: United Kingdom Politics
It's not actually the whole of the UK voting either. In England, its some local authorities, but only around a third of all councils. All the London councils, but then it gets very patchy. Metropolitan boroughs, a few county councils, and a mix of unitary and district councils. Some areas are not v...
- Wed Apr 29, 2026 9:51 pm
- Forum: News, Current Affairs & Politics
- Topic: United Kingdom Politics
- Replies: 416
- Views: 147869
Re: United Kingdom Politics
The latest local election polls emphasise that, notwithstanding Reform's and Farage's recent woes, they remain a serious, clear and present threat. Reform are well ahead in a number of West Midlands councils (by double figures in most). In Birmingham, they're tied with Lab on 21% with the Greens on ...
- Wed Apr 29, 2026 6:52 pm
- Forum: News, Current Affairs & Politics
- Topic: EU consent definition change
- Replies: 3
- Views: 567
Re: EU consent definition change
Now, maybe I’m a bit thick but I genuinely don’t understand how this is supposed to close any loopholes: “The European Parliament’s resolution, passed on Tuesday by an overwhelming margin, urges all EU member states to adopt an only “yes means yes” legal standard for consent while recognizing that ...
- Wed Apr 29, 2026 6:45 pm
- Forum: News, Current Affairs & Politics
- Topic: A New Hospital for Limerick?
- Replies: 13
- Views: 13228
- Wed Apr 29, 2026 6:42 pm
- Forum: News, Current Affairs & Politics
- Topic: Presidential Election 2025
- Replies: 990
- Views: 93181
Re: Presidential Election 2025
True. Goes to show that you can rise above your background in this country with our good solid education system, ambitious parents who value education for their children and will make sacrifices for it, a work ethic, a determination to help others in their turn to improve their lot It happened in m...
- Mon Apr 27, 2026 7:00 pm
- Forum: News, Current Affairs & Politics
- Topic: The Polls Thread
- Replies: 252
- Views: 60172
Re: The Polls Thread
That assumes that the sample sizes are roughly equal ( i.e. Dublin, RoL. Munster, connacht- ulster all being roughly 250 people, which may not be the case, and even then that's an MoE of roughly ±6.3%. Be interesting in seeing the other regional data, but that said this is the region most devoid of...
- Mon Apr 27, 2026 6:55 pm
- Forum: News, Current Affairs & Politics
- Topic: A 'movement' for a 'new republic'
- Replies: 289
- Views: 57872
Re: A 'movement' for a 'new republic'
Come to think of it, 'neither king nor Tsar' might be more appropriate these days. But then I suppose someone might have the temerity to remind them about various European Parliament votes and their pre-2022 website.…login to view the rest of this post
- Mon Apr 27, 2026 6:51 pm
- Forum: News, Current Affairs & Politics
- Topic: President Trump survives murder attempt - again!
- Replies: 33
- Views: 5712
Re: President Trump survives murder attempt - again!
Johnson automatically became president but he wanted to nail it down. He insisted on being given a bible and being sworn in as President before the plane left the runway in Dallas with JFK's corpse on board. He was a very ambitious, insecure, paranoid man (with perhaps a lot to be paranoid about, w...
- Sun Apr 26, 2026 9:27 pm
- Forum: News, Current Affairs & Politics
- Topic: President Trump survives murder attempt - again!
- Replies: 33
- Views: 5712
Re: President Trump survives murder attempt - again!
My understanding is that on the death of a President the vice President automatically becomes POTUS There is no constitutional need for him to take an Oath of Office. I've no idea but Johnson certainly took it, with Jackie standing beside him in her still-bloodied dress. I think it may even have be...
- Sun Apr 26, 2026 7:56 pm
- Forum: News, Current Affairs & Politics
- Topic: President Trump survives murder attempt - again!
- Replies: 33
- Views: 5712
Re: President Trump survives murder attempt - again!
One of the correspondents quoted (might have been the Mail or Guardian, can't remember) said that security at the Hilton was very lax Some journalists just waved their tickets at security guards at the entrance. And of course residents staying at the hotel would only have to show their room key swi...
- Sun Apr 26, 2026 7:51 pm
- Forum: News, Current Affairs & Politics
- Topic: The Polls Thread
- Replies: 252
- Views: 60172
Re: The Polls Thread
https://twitter.com/i/status/2048183791181570345 Much of the 12% for 'Indos and Others' and some of the 7% for II could be said to be going to 'genepool' FFers or FGers. The fall in party support is dramatic enough, but a lot is as much a hankering for 'old FF ' or 'old FG', real or imaginary, as a...
- Sun Apr 26, 2026 7:45 pm
- Forum: News, Current Affairs & Politics
- Topic: The Polls Thread
- Replies: 252
- Views: 60172
Re: The Polls Thread
While the small subsample should be taken with a pinch of salt. This is pretty stark teasing for govt. https://twitter.com/i/status/2048359087147000150 I posted about this on the other thread. The Connacht-Ulster figures simply don't make sense in the context of the overall national figures given. ...
- Sun Apr 26, 2026 7:39 pm
- Forum: News, Current Affairs & Politics
- Topic: A 'movement' for a 'new republic'
- Replies: 289
- Views: 57872
Re: A 'movement' for a 'new republic'
From Gavan Reilly:: POLL: Business Post/Red C (circa April 17-22, MoE 3%) Sinn Féin 25 (+1 in four weeks) Fine Gael 16 (-2) Fianna Fáil 16 Social Democrats 8 (-1) Ind Ireland 7 (+2) Aontú 6 Labour 4 PBP-Solidarity 3 Greens 3 Independents 12 Can't see anything that worries SF there, unless Daniel Mu...
- Sat Apr 25, 2026 10:01 pm
- Forum: News, Current Affairs & Politics
- Topic: A 'movement' for a 'new republic'
- Replies: 289
- Views: 57872
Re: A 'movement' for a 'new republic'
Meanwhile Sinn Fein return to 1914 wi5h ''neither King nor Kaiser'. FFS. I gather there's a Red C poll tonight which I can't access but the by-line below sums it up - FF/FG at new low and 'l ittle joy for SF '. I presume the fash have made hay out of the events of Easter week and SF's latest plunge...
- Sat Apr 25, 2026 9:51 pm
- Forum: News, Current Affairs & Politics
- Topic: A 'movement' for a 'new republic'
- Replies: 289
- Views: 57872
Re: A 'movement' for a 'new republic'
I've read her stuff recently, the crux of it is that in 1975, 85 or 95, Irelandv was nowhere near the "2nd richest county per capita in Europe" moniker that govt roll out now and then, her argument is that with such wealth, Ireland is incredibly infrastructurally poor. Housing is short an...
- Sat Apr 25, 2026 7:57 pm
- Forum: News, Current Affairs & Politics
- Topic: A 'movement' for a 'new republic'
- Replies: 289
- Views: 57872
Re: A 'movement' for a 'new republic'
I can't read the article and the headline may be more the editor's fault than the writer's, but she clearly wasn't around in 1975, or 1985, or even 1995. Sinéad O’Sullivan: Ireland’s population is told it has never been richer, yet it has never felt poorer https://www.irishtimes.com/opinion/2026/04/...
- Sat Apr 25, 2026 7:36 pm
- Forum: News, Current Affairs & Politics
- Topic: DDOS attack on Gubu?
- Replies: 11
- Views: 3368